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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting tips

Who's going to claim the Crosby Clambake? Oddschecker's Tom Jacobs has made his picks to win in California
 

It’s one of our favourite tournaments of the year as the pros and the celebs lock horns across three breathtaking courses along California’s Pacific coastline. Scroll down for my AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting tips, but first…

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am preview

Venue: Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill, and Monterey Peninsula, California, USA

Date: February 2-5, 2023

Course stats: Par 72, 6,816 yards (Pebble Beach); Par 72, 7,035 yards (Spyglass Hill); Par 71, 6,958 yards (Monterey Peninsula)

Course summary: The field will play one round at each of our trio of host venues this week, before those that make the cut tee it up at Pebble Beach for the final round on Sunday. Monterey Peninsula is perhaps the easier of the three courses, while Spyglass Hill offers some protection from the wind with slightly larger greens for players to attack. The famous Pebble Beach needs no introduction, having hosted multiple major championships over the years. The seaside links is one of the shortest courses on tour, and one of the truest tests of golf management in blustery conditions. The iconic, small, Poa Annua greens require accuracy on approach, with GIR a key measure for success in recent years.  

Purse: $9 million

Defending champion: Tom Hoge (-19)

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

TV coverage

Thursday: Sky Sports Golf from 4.30pm and Main Event from 8pm

Friday: Sky Sports Golf from 4.30pm and Main Event from 8pm

Saturday: Sky Sports Golf from 4pm and Main Event from 8.30pm

Sunday: Sky Sports Golf from 6pm and Main Event from 9.30pm

2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am betting tips

The Banker: Joel Dahmen @ 33/1 with Bet365

Regular readers or listeners of my content will know I have backed Joel Dahmen multiple times this season, and I won’t apologize for taking him again at the first opportunity in 2023. This is Dahmen’s first start in 2023, and that is because he and his partner welcomed a new baby into the world. We have seen that pay dividends for his mate, Max Homa in recent weeks, but will it be the same for Dahmen who will no doubt have some rust to blow away?

I think so, as I believe he was playing plenty well enough before the break and has picked his first start of the season well, at the friendly Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

Dahmen has finished 6th and 14th in this event in the past, and he can lean on that experience, and his PGA Tour experience in general, to beat out a weaker field this week.

With three top 9 finishes in his most recent starts, Dahmen is the form man coming in, and one that should not go unbacked.

The Each-Way Play: Nick Taylor @ 50/1 with Bet365

Nick Taylor has an exceptional record here at Pebble Beach, which includes a wire-to-wire win in 2020, and two top-14 finishes either side as well. Course form and event experience in this lengthy format counts for plenty at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and Taylor can put his experience to good use.

Taylor has 6th, 7th, and 19th place finishes so far this season, and that 7th came at the Sony Open two starts ago, so his recent form coming in is plenty good enough to succeed here once again.

The Canadian has the Around the Green game to keep him in the mix, even if his ball striking isn’t there on every hole, so I think he is the perfect candidate to succeed in this event.

Another Each-Way Play: Russell Knox @ 60/1 with Bet365

Looking at his recent results, you would be forgiven for thinking Knox can be dismissed quite easily here, but on closer inspection, he looks more than capable of stepping up, now the field strength has weakened once again.

In this field, Knox ranks 4th in SG Approach over the past 15 weeks, and his ball striking in general is edging closer to its best in recent months. It has always been his strong wedge and short iron play that has kept him on the Tour, and has led to his two wins to date, and now it is time to add a third PGA Tour title, just under six years since his last.

A veteran on the PGA Tour, and one that has finished 7th, 14th, 15th and 33rd in his most recent starts here, Knox fits the profile, and he’s certainly got some unfinished business in this event.

Knox finished 7th here in 2021 and it was then when he had his best chance to get his first win at this event, and his first in a number of years on Tour. Knox was 2nd going into the final round, and one back of Jordan Spieth but on the very first hole on Sunday, he had to deal with a rules infraction. He was handed a one-shot penalty and while he bounced back fairly from that, his round of 70 failed to keep him in contention.

The Scot can break through once again on Tour, with a win at an event that rewards veteran PGA Tour players, who enjoy short course birdie-fests.

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Tom Jacobs

Tom is a golf betting expert and provides weekly tips for NCG on the DP World Tour and PGA Tour. He works as an affiliate operations specialist for odds comparison site Oddschecker, and also co-hosts the Lost Fore Words podcast.

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