The PGA Tour stars head to Ohio to take on Oakdale this week. Scroll down for my RBC Canadian Open betting tips.
RBC Canadian Open preview
Venue: Oakdale Golf and Country Club, Oakdale, Canada
Date: June 8-11, 2023
Course stats: Par 72; 7,264 yards
Course summary: Oakdale is hosting the RBC Canadian Open for the first time and it is the 37th different course to be used for this popular event. The club’s 27-hole design has been converted into 18 holes, with combinations from different nines making up the championship golf course.
Purse: $9 million
Defending champion: Rory McIlroy (-19)
Thursday: Sky Sports Golf from 5pm and Main Event from 9.45pm
Friday: Sky Sports Golf from 5pm and Main Event from 10.15pm
Saturday: Sky Sports Golf from 5pm and Main Event from 6.15pm
Sunday: Sky Sports Golf from 5pm and Main Event from 6.15pm
2023 RBC Canadian Open betting tips
The Banker: Tyrrell Hatton @ 12/1
Tyrrell Hatton is playing as well as most on the PGA Tour this season, but because he’s without a win so far, he’s not being talked about like he’s the third-best player in terms of SG: Total. That’s right… Only Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm are above Hatton in terms of SG Total, and yet, the Englishman is still winless on the year. It’s not like he’s chucked wins away, he’s just kept putting himself in multiple big events, and now it’s time for him to win one.
It used to be that Hatton relished the tougher tests on the PGA Tour, but we knew from his years on the DP World Tour that he could play birdie-fests, and he’s recently shown with his T5 finish at the Byron Nelson, that he can keep up with the best of them in terms of birdies.
Hatton is unlikely to sustain his 2.033 SG Total average throughout the season, if he did, he would join Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Dustin Johnson as the only players to do it only the past five years, but the fact he’s even eclipsing that number at this stage of the season, with two majors already checked off, is remarkable in itself.
Since missing the cut at this event last year, Hatton has only missed two weekends, at the 2022 Irish Open and the 2023 Valero Texas Open, and it is that consistency that leads me to believe he can go on and contend this week, despite a lackluster effort last year.
This season, Hatton ranks 7th in SG Tee to Green, 11th in SG Putting, 18th in SG Approach, and his worst ranking is 59th, which is Around the Green. If the latter comes into play at this course this week, then he’s not going to win anyway, so I will take my chances that the most in-form player in the field can win this week, as he looks to prepare for a major by playing the week before yet again.
The Each-Way Play: Michael Kim @ 80/1
Michael Kim is in great form this season, and he looks almost 100% back to his best, and that is a promising sign for the decorated amateur who won his first PGA Tour event by 8 shots! That win came at the 2018 John Deere Classic, which he won at -27 and I can see a similar score being required to win this week in Canada.
Outside of his win, Kim’s best efforts have come on shorter courses like Silverado and Colonial where he’s finished T3 and T6 and whilst it seems a completely different test, there was plenty of crossover between those who play well at Quail Hollow and those who succeeded at this event last year. That’s another great sign for Kim who finished 7th at Quail Hollow three starts ago.
Ultimately… Kim has made eight of his last nine cuts and has finished inside the top seven three times in that period. Add an 11th-place finish at Pebble Beach earlier in the season, and it is clear Kim is more than ready to contend, especially in a field that lacks depth this week.
I am going to continue backing him at bigger prices, rather than wait for him to go down to 20-1 in a smaller field. I truly believe he can win an event of this magnitude, with some of the field having half an eye on next week.
The Long Shot: Lee Hodges @ 110/1
Lee Hodges is playing consistently well in big fields right now, and this week he gets the chance to excel in a field that lacks depth. We have seen so often before that players who show form in strong fields can often turn up to an event like this and contend, and at 110-1, I will chance that Hodges’ form continues in Canada.
In his past three starts, starting at the PGA Championship and ending last week at the Memorial, Hodges has ranked 43rd, 8th and 6th in SG Approach, and he’s also ranked 27th, 13th, and 13th in SG Tee to Green in that time.
Results wise he has finished 55th (PGA Championship), T29 (Charles Schwab) and T12 (Memorial) in his past three starts, and given he impressed at the Valero Texas Open (T6) the week before the Masters, I think we should be looking at him again here, as the field focuses on the US Open.
Last year, Hodges was 5th after two rounds at the Canadian Open, and if he finds himself in the mix again this time around, I think he hangs around a little while longer and potentially pays us out an each-way place.
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