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Race to Dubai

Key Race to Dubai scenarios ahead of the finale

Who can win the Race to Dubai? We take a look at some of the biggest storylines ahead of the European Tour season's climax at the DP World Tour Championship
 

Two out of three of the European Tour’s concluding Rolex Series events are now are the books and all eyes now fall upon the season-ending DP World Tour Championship. The event will see the season-long Race to Dubai conclude and Bernd Wiesberger is the man to catch.

The top 50 in the standings qualify for Dubai and there was plenty of drama in South Africa this week as players battled for spots. We’ve rounded up some of the biggest and best stories to come out of Sun City, some make better reading than others for those involved.

Race to Dubai: The battle for the title

For a large portion of the final round in South Africa Wiesberger was a serious contender for a win that would have wrapped up the Race to Dubai title prior to the season finale.

Despite carding two bogeys and a double in his last four holes Wiesberger still leads the way thanks to his best season on the European Tour – but he can still be caught by four players.

Matt Fitzpatrick, Jon Rahm, Shane Lowry and Tommy Fleetwood are the men still able to pounce but each has their own little permutation in order for that to happen.

In order to win the Race to Dubai…

Fitzpatrick: Win the Tour Championship, Wiesberger finishes solo 5th or worse and Fleetwood finishes worse than 2nd.

Lowry: Win the Tour Championship and Wiesberger finishes worse than 2nd. There is a mathematical possibility that he still can win with a 2nd place finish.

Rahm: Win the Tour Championship and Wiesberger finishes worse than 2nd. There is a mathematical possibility that he still can win with a 2nd place finish.

Fleetwood: Win the Tour Championship and Wiesberger finishes worse than 2nd. There is a mathematical possibility that he still can win with a 2nd or 3rd place finish.

Wiesberger: A top-2 finish wins him the Race to Dubai regardless of competitors performance. Eliminates all but Fleetwood with a top-3 finish.

(Thanks to the 15th Club for help on this one.)

Race to Dubai: Notable ins and outs

Spare a thought for Nacho Elvira who was going along quite nicely at 1-under on the final day of the Nedbank before a triple-bogey 7 at the 72nd hole proved costly.

The Spaniard cut a dejected figure after holing out on the last because not only did it mean his prize cheque was considerably smaller, it also had grave Race to Dubai implications. A par would have seen him comfortably qualify for the season-ender but his final-hole failing meant he only reached 64th in the standings and his season is over.

On a happier note, Jason Scrivener finished in a tie for 3rd and began the week outside of the top 50 in the Race to Dubai standings. The strong finish sees him move up to 35th and qualify for the Tour Championship.

Meanwhile, Thomas Detry entered the week at 66 and needed a birdie at the last to secure his spot in Dubai and he did not disappoint. A tied 3rd sees him move up almost to 41st in the standings – and he can thank one of the luckiest shots ever caught on camera for that.

Alongside the Race to Dubai finale the Rookie of the Year race looks set to produce a thrilling climax.

It seems to be a two-horse race between Scotland’s Robert MacIntyre and America’s Kurt Kitayama and both will be vying to take the coveted title in Dubai.

Race to Dubai: The top 50

  1. Bernd Wiesberger
  2. Tommy Fleetwood
  3. Jon Rahm
  4. Shane Lowry
  5. Matthew Fitzpatrick
  6. Rory McIlroy
  7. Matt Wallace
  8. Tyrrell Hatton
  9. Louis Oosthuizen
  10. Erik van Rooyen
  11. Robert MacIntyre
  12. Kurt Kitayama
  13. Marcus Kinhult
  14. Victor Perez
  15. Benjamin Hebert
  16. Mathias Schwab
  17. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  18. Danny Willett
  19. Jorge Campillo
  20. Paul Waring
  21. Rafa Cabrera Bello
  22. Romain Langasque
  23. Justin Harding
  24. Ian Poulter
  25. Sergio Garcia
  26. Joost Luiten
  27. Haotong Li
  28. Francesco Molinari
  29. Andrea Pavan
  30. Paul Casey
  31. Lee Westwood
  32. Justin Rose
  33. Patrick Reed
  34. Henrik Stenson
  35. Jason Scrivener
  36. Mike Lorenzo-Vera
  37. Adri Arnaus
  38. Richard Sterne
  39. Tony Finau
  40. Guido Migliozzi
  41. Thomas Detry
  42. Thomas Pieters
  43. David Lipsky
  44. Tom Lewis
  45. Aaron Rai
  46. Andy Sullivan
  47. Matthew Southgate
  48. Mikko Korhonen
  49. Jordan Smith
  50. Scott Hend

Joe Hughes

Tour editor covering men's golf, women's golf and anything else that involves the word golf, really. The talk is far better than the game, but the work has begun to change that.

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