Bermuda Championship betting tips: Who will conquer Port Royal?
The PGA Tour ventures out into the Atlantic this week for the Bermuda Championship. Scroll down to see who I think will win the 2022 Bermuda Championship, but first…
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2022 Bermuda Championship details
Venue: Port Royal Golf Course, Bermuda
Dates: October 27-30, 2022
Course stats: Par 71; 6,828 yards
Course summary: This is a short, intricate track with generous fairways and huge Bermuda grass greens. Wind is the course’s primary defence and, similarly to Sherwood last week, this is a shot maker’s dream with GIR and wedge play expected to be the key to success here.
Purse: €6.5 million
Defending champion: Lucas Herbert (-15)
2022 Bermuda Championship times
Thursday: Sky Sports Golf and Main Event from 6:30pm
Friday: Sky Sports Golf from 6:30pm
Saturday: Sky Sports Golf from 6:30pm
Sunday: Sky Sports Golf from 5:30pm
2022 Bermuda Championship golf betting tips
The Banker: Aaron Rai @ 28/1 with Bet365
Aaron Rai performed admirably in his first full PGA Tour season, on a circuit that plays away from his key strengths. A lot of courses reward big hitters, and that Aaron Rai is not, but in what is a bit of a throwback, the Bermuda Championship certainly plays to his strengths.
Ultimately, Rai is a grinder, who plays better the tougher it gets, and likes to be rewarded for accurate play both off the tee and into the greens which he excels in, and Port Royal demands both.
A 15th place finish at El Camaleon last year was one of his better finishes on the PGA Tour, topped only by a T6 finish at Torrey Pines, and a T13 in Canada, and it is that finish in Mexico that provides confidence.
Rai hasn’t completely kicked on over this side of the pond yet, but he consistently reminds us of his class on the DP World Tour, and as he gets a chance to see these courses a second time around, he should be in a good position to perform better on the PGA Tour this season.
The Each-Way Play: Russell Knox @ 35/1 with Bet365
Russell Knox posted back-to-back top-25’s to start the season, and while he missed the cut at the Shriners, and finished almost last at the Zozo, there have been another signs of late to make him a bet here, including a better final round in Japan.
When finishing inside the top-25 in those first two starts of the new season, Knox ranked 14th and 7th in strokes gained approach, and inside the top-35 in both in stokes gained tee-to-green.
His long game is in good shape then, and he now returns to a course where he has finished 11th, 16th and 12th which is a steady run on a course where the weather can wreak havoc.
Knox has impressive wins at the Travelers, the Irish Open and the WGC-HSBC Champions under his belt, and while the most recent of those was in 2018, at the Irish, he can channel that sort of experience against weaker players down the stretch, should he find himself in contention.
Back the Scot, who has a playoff loss at the correlating El Camaleon, to play well again on a course that suits his strengths.
The (Other) Each-Way Play: Adam Long @ 50/1 with Bet365
It has been a while since Adam Long showed any sort of consistency on the PGA Tour, but outside of his impressive maiden victory at the Desert Classic in 2019, 2nd and 3rd place finishes at the Mayakoba, a 5th at the Corales and a 16th at the RSM Classic show signs he can play this sort of course.
Long’s efforts in Mexico show he can contend at this sort of test, and not only that but we know that he can win when in contention, given he went head-to-head with Phil Mickelson to get his first victory, in a field that featured Jon Rahm and Talor Gooch at the top of the leaderboard.
The Long Shot: Brian Stuard @ 110/1 with Bet365
Brian Stuard has finished 12th and 61st so far this season, and it is at this time of year where he needs to make his money, to keep his card.
This event looks right up his street, despite two missed cuts and a 51st in his first three efforts here. But I am willing to chance he finds the top of the leaderboard this time around.
Outside of his sole victory at the Zurich Classic, Stuard’s best finishes have come at the Sony Open and in Mayakoba, so it is very clear what sort of test he likes.
Stuard has finished 4th, 5th, 6th and 8th at the Sony Open and has twice been second at the Mayakoba, so he ticks the correlating course criteria nicely.
He has ranked 15th in strokes gained approach in both his starts this season, and whether you go back three months, six months or 12 months, Stuard ranks inside the top-21 in driving accuracy, which makes him a good fit in Bermuda.
The Why Not: Akshay Bhatia @ 400/1 with Bet365
This is a home run play on a golfer that has plenty of upside, and importantly showed it in a potentially significant event.
Akshay Bhatia famously turned pro at 18 years of age, is still only 20, and never went to college to play golf, such was his confidence to make an instant impact on the PGA Tour.
Bhatia won The Bahamas Great Exuma Classic at Sandals Emerald Bay, which is another wind-affected event, and he shot an impressive Sunday 65 to get it done. He was three back going into the final round, and come up trumps with his girlfriend on the bag, which was an impressive effort given his inexperience.
He is far too volatile to trust with any confidence, but the upside on this golfer is massive. Take a chance on this extraordinary talent, in an event that may potentially be similar to one he has already won.
Visit Bet365 for more prices.
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Tom Jacobs
Tom is a golf betting expert and provides weekly tips for NCG on the DP World Tour and PGA Tour. He works as an affiliate operations specialist for odds comparison site Oddschecker, and also co-hosts the Lost Fore Words podcast.