Houston Open betting tips: Who will triumph in Texas?

After a couple weeks away from American soil, the PGA Tour returns home this week for the Houston Open at Memorial Park. Scroll down to see who I think will win the 2022 Houston Open, but first…

• ALSO THIS WEEK: Nedbank Golf Challenge

2022 Houston Open details

Venue: Memorial Park

Date: Nov 10–13, 2022

Course stats: Par 72, 7,440 yards

Course summary:  We return to the municipal Memorial Park Golf Course for a third year, and with that comes some useful course information. This long, flat, tree-lined parkland should play relatively easily for the players, with very few obvious defences. Minimal bunkering protects the large Bermuda grass greens, with short rough flanking the generous fairways. The danger lies around the greens at this venue, with scrambling and a solid short game essential.

Purse: $8.4 million

2021 champion: Jason Kokrak (-10)

2022 Houston Open TV coverage

Thursday: Sky Sports Golf – Red Button from 12:30pm and Sky Sports Golf and Main Event from 6pm

Friday: Sky Sports Golf – Red Button from 12:30pm and Sky Sports Golf from 6pm

Saturday: Sky Sports Golf from 6pm

Sunday: Sky Sports Golf from 6pm

2022 Houston Open golf betting tips

The Banker: Joel Dahmen @ 35/1 with Bet365

Joel Dahmen was a must-pick for me before the odds came out, and while he has shortened up, I do think he still represents some value in this event.

Since missing the cut at the Fortinet Championship, Dahmen has finished 13th, 37th, and 16th, before rounding off that form last week, with a 3rd place finish in Mayakoba.

Dahmen got better every round last week, firing rounds of 68-67-66-65, and that is a positive sign. Dahmen also closed with a 65 here last year, to finish in 5th, and on top of that, I like his correlating form.

A 2nd at Quail Hollow, 5th at Riviera, and 5th at Bay Hill all provide confidence, as do T9 finishes at Torrey Pines, and another Texas event, the Byron Nelson.

Dahmen drove the ball nicely last week, ranking 20th in distance and 11th in accuracy, and in the two events where Strokes Gained data has been collected, he’s looked superb.

11th and 12th in SG Approach, 1st, and 11th in SG Tee to Green, and 18th and 25th in SG Off the Tee, Dahmen clearly has his ball on a string right now. Everything lines up for a huge week for Dahmen.

The Each Way: Will Gordon @ 70/1 with Bet365

Will Gordon has found his form at this level again after a confidence-boosting finish to his Korn Ferry Tour season. Gordon won the Boise Open, after back-to-back 5th place finishes going in, and in five starts on the PGA Tour this season, he’s made the weekend every time.

36th at the Fortinet, where he was 16th at the halfway stage, 30th at the Sanderson Farms where he led on day one, and closed with a 68 to finish 30th, Gordon clearly got his season off to a strong start. 

Gordon then finished 44th at the Sanderson Farms, where he opened with a 65 to sit 4th on day one, before closing with a 63, after shooting his way out of it, on Friday and Saturday. 

Gordon was 8th going into the final round in Bermuda but fell away, but last week he stayed the distance. He led after round 1 again, firing a 62, and followed with rounds of 67, 68 and 69, to stay inside the top 3 all week.

Gordon ranked 2nd in ball striking last week, as he ranked 3rd in driving distance, 27th in driving accuracy and 10th in greens in regulation, and that is a great sign coming into a driver-heavy golf course.

Gordon finished 38th here in 2020, but he bounced back from an opening 76, with rounds of 67-65 to leave him in 18th going into Sunday. A poor final round saw him slip away again, but with the form he is in, he could both start and end the week better this time.

The Long Shot: Luke List @ 80/1 with Bet365

Luke List has bundles of form I like, including his win earlier this year at Torrey Pines, his 3rd at the 2017 Houston Open, and his 6th and 9th place finishes at Quail Hollow. 

Add in a 10th at Bay Hill, an 11th here last year and two more top-15’s at Torrey Pines and Riviera, this looks a perfect setup for List, who has shown some signs of late. In his last two Strokes Gained tracked events, List ranked 31st and 20th in SG Off the Tee which throughout his career has been his greatest asset and he will need that this week. 

It has been a lean period for List since his win, but he opened with a promising round to sit 14th after day one at the Sanderson Farms, and at the ZOZO, he was 8th at the halfway stage. 

Now returning to a suitable course, I think List can thrive here.

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