Golf betting tips: Africa Open
I had quite a list of players to back for this week’s Africa Open at the East London course because it suits a certain type of player. Michael Hoey was high on the list and I managed £10 ew at 100/1 when prices first came out but I don’t like the price he is now.
Young Spaniard Otaegui is one who should also go well but the price for a non winner is just way too short so in the end I went for a big bet on a confirmed winner, a smaller bet on someone who also knows how to win and a promising young rookie.
David Horsey was top of my list last year and he finished 3rd and I was surprised to see him slightly bigger this year. Last year was his debut on the course but he has great form at the tracks used for the KLM Open and the Golf du Palais Royal which bear close scrutiny in comparison to here. I proved to be correct last year so I don’t see why he should be bigger in price 12 months on with confirmed suitability and another win on another tree lined track in Russia. Maybe the current form puts people off but there were definite signs of an upswing last week and to be honest he can find his form from nowhere £60 ew 55/1 + £20 ew 50/1 + £10 Betfair 55
I will take a chance on Felipe Aguilar on his first visit as he seems to like golf in South Africa despite playing infrequently. Three visits in the last four years have yielded a pair of 3rd place finishes and he did win on the tour in Singapore last year so the price just felt a little too big £20 ew 100/1
The young rookie I find a decent price is Kevin Phelan who has been 3rd in Hong Kong and 2nd in the Joburg Open in his last five starts. Some people will point out he missed the cut here last season but he also missed the cut at both the above named events so maybe he is a quick learner who needs a bit of course experience.
Whatever the case I do think he offers a little bit more value than others around him in the betting and looking at his stats the course really should suit £40 ew 66/1 + £10 70 Betfair
For more golf news, discussion and videos follow @NCGmagazine on Twitter, like us on Facebook, subscribe to our YouTube video channel, and sign up to our newsletter.
Mark Townsend
Been watching and playing golf since the early 80s and generally still stuck in this period. Huge fan of all things Robert Rock, less so white belts. Handicap of 8, fragile mind and short game